China’s Trade Map Is Rewiring: Shenzhen and Shanghai Hold Fast as Inland and Small Cities Surge

China’s 2025 city-level trade data reveal a reconfiguration of the country’s external commerce: Shenzhen and Shanghai remain the top two, but inland provincial capitals and several smaller cities have surged. The shift is driven by higher-value manufactured exports, logistics innovations such as China–Europe freight trains, and the growth of platform-style trade centres like Yiwu.

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Key Takeaways

  • 1Shenzhen (4.55 trillion RMB) and Shanghai (4.51 trillion RMB) remain the top two trading cities, together accounting for about 20% of China’s foreign trade.
  • 2Jinhua (1.05 trillion RMB), anchored by Yiwu, became the eighth Chinese city to exceed 1 trillion RMB in trade, propelled by small-commodity markets and cross-border e-commerce.
  • 3Inland tech-oriented provincial capitals (Xi’an, Hefei, Jinan) posted export growth over 20%, aided by China–Europe freight trains which ran over 20,000 departures in 2025.
  • 4Dongguan overtook Ningbo for fifth place as processing trade recovered, while traditional export centres such as Fuzhou and several northern ports saw sharp declines.

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Strategic Analysis

China’s 2025 city-level trade reshuffle signals more than cyclical winners and losers: it reflects an ongoing strategic shift in China’s industrial and logistics architecture. Policy tools — free-trade zones, cross-border e-commerce pilots, bonded logistics and sustained expansion of overland rail links to Europe — are enabling inland and niche ports to embed themselves into higher-value segments of global supply chains. For international companies this reduces concentration risk tied to a handful of coastal hubs but raises new choices about sourcing, transit corridors and supplier relationships. Geopolitically, a more distributed trade map increases China’s resilience to coastal chokepoint disruptions and presents deeper regional supply dependencies, particularly for high-tech and strategic materials. The next risk to monitor is cyclical demand: cities built on processing trade may reverse quickly if global orders weaken, while resource-dependent import hubs will remain exposed to commodity price swings and shifting green-technology demand.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

China’s 2025 city-level foreign trade figures show a market in motion rather than a monolith. Shenzhen and Shanghai remain locked in a razor-close duel at the top — together they account for roughly a fifth of the nation’s external commerce — even as a wider set of inland and smaller coastal cities make decisive gains.

Shenzhen kept its lead as China’s largest trading city with 4.55 trillion RMB of imports and exports, growing 1.4% year-on-year. Shanghai closed in at 4.51 trillion RMB with a faster 5.6% pace, narrowing the gap to about 430 billion RMB and underscoring a new phase in a high-stakes rivalry between China’s manufacturing powerhouse and its global trading hub.

Beneath the summit, competition for places in the top ranks intensified. Dongguan reclaimed the title of China’s fifth-largest trading city with 1.57 trillion RMB and a 13.8% gain, overtaking Ningbo, which recorded 1.45 trillion RMB and much slower growth. The contrast reflects differing trade models: Dongguan’s processing- and export-led factories are benefitting from a modest global demand rebound, while Ningbo’s general-trade orientation functions as a steadier gateway for China’s internal–external circulation.

The single most dramatic story is Jinhua, propelled by the market centre of Yiwu, which pushed the city past the 1 trillion RMB mark for the first time (10,508.6 hundred million RMB, or ~1.05 trillion RMB). Yiwu’s small-commodity ecosystem — tens of thousands of stalls trading millions of SKUs to more than 230 countries — and a boom in cross-border e-commerce (import lists exceeded 100 million orders) explain how a mid-sized inland city vaulted into the nation’s top ten.

A parallel transformation is taking place inland. Provincial capitals such as Xi’an, Hefei and Jinan posted export-led growth of roughly 20% or more, driven by integrated circuits, photovoltaics, electric vehicles and batteries. Xi’an’s 2025 total stood at 498.7 hundred million RMB (just shy of 500 billion RMB), with exports up sharply; the rise of these “technology-cluster” cities reflects China’s push to move up the value chain and to reroute trade away from a narrow coastal core.

Logistics innovations have underpinned much of this dispersion. The China–Europe freight train network passed 20,000 departures in 2025, moving goods worth over $67.7 billion, and the Xi’an route alone ran more than 6,000 trains. Those land corridors have turned interior manufacturing regions into effective exporters, shortening the ‘outbound’ bottleneck that historically favoured port cities.

Not all stories are of ascent. Fuzhou’s foreign trade collapsed by 24% as lower-tech sectors such as garments and furniture lost ground to lower-cost Southeast Asian producers. Several traditional northern port cities also posted declines, reflecting a combination of industrial stagnation and shifting global demand. Meanwhile, smaller specialised hubs — Wuhu (automotive exports), Tongling (resource-heavy imports for copper processing) and Fangchenggang (a southern transshipment and resource hub linked to ASEAN) — recorded some of the fastest growth rates, highlighting heterogeneous local strategies.

Taken together the figures mark a structural moment: China’s coastal concentration of external commerce is loosening as new nodes — inland, border and specialised coastal ports — deepen their roles in global supply chains. For foreign firms, suppliers and policymakers, the message is clear: China’s trading geography is becoming more networked and sectorally differentiated, with implications for logistics, resilience and the balance of regional economic power.

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