Iran Says Cities Calm After Protests; Tehran Blames Israel and U.S. as Turkey Urges Stability

Iran’s parliamentary speaker told Turkey that nationwide calm has been restored after recent unrest, blaming the disturbances on Israeli and U.S. backing for ‘‘terrorists.’’ Turkey urged continued stability, while Washington’s warnings of possible intervention and Tehran’s external-conspiracy narrative deepen polarization and raise the risk of further escalation.

Beautiful view of Mohammad Al-Amin Mosque with surrounding urban architecture in Beirut, Lebanon.

Key Takeaways

  • 1Iran’s parliament speaker said all cities have returned to peace after recent protests, attributing the unrest to Israeli and U.S. support for militants.
  • 2Turkish parliamentary speaker urged Iran to preserve stability and warned that Israeli actions threaten regional Muslim unity.
  • 3The protests caused casualties and have been met with a securitized response by Tehran, which frames the events as foreign-instigated.
  • 4U.S. threats of military intervention and Iran’s external-blame narrative heighten tensions and reduce space for de-escalation or internal reform.

Editor's
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Strategic Analysis

Ghalibaf’s public framing of the disturbances as externally driven is a predictable move by Tehran to delegitimate dissent and mobilize nationalist sentiment. By elevating the narrative to a matter of foreign interference, the regime strengthens its justification for heavy-handed security measures and complicates international efforts to mediate. Ankara’s response highlights a pragmatic regional stance: Turkey can criticize Israeli tactics while pressing Iran for order to avoid destabilising spillovers. For Washington and other external actors, rhetoric about military options risks playing into Tehran’s narrative and narrowing diplomatic alternatives. Looking ahead, unless political channels open to address protesters’ grievances, Iran is likely to oscillate between waves of unrest and intensified securitisation, with periodic regional repercussions that will test the restraint of neighbouring states and external powers.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

On January 22, Iran’s parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf spoke by phone with Turkish parliamentary speaker Numan Kurtulmuş to discuss bilateral ties and regional developments. Ghalibaf framed recent disturbances as a continuation of last June’s “12-day war,” accusing Israel and the United States of supporting “terrorists” who fomented unrest inside Iran. He said that thanks to the efforts of security forces and popular unity, ‘‘all cities’’ in Iran have returned to peace.

Kurtulmuş welcomed the restoration of calm and warned that Israeli actions risked undermining solidarity among Muslim-majority states, urging Iran to maintain stability. The exchange illustrates Ankara’s cautious posture: while critical of Israeli measures that stoke regional tensions, Turkey also seeks predictable relations with Tehran amid overlapping strategic concerns. Both speakers emphasized order rather than addressing the underlying grievances that triggered the protests.

Iran’s recent unrest has resulted in casualties among civilians and security personnel, and has prompted repeated public warnings from Washington about possible military involvement. Tehran has repeatedly characterized the disturbances as part of a foreign-orchestrated campaign, a narrative reiterated by President Mohammad-Pezeshkian on January 19, who blamed a U.S.–Israel plot. The competing accounts harden domestic rhetoric and complicate international mediation efforts.

The Iranian government’s swift attribution of blame to external actors serves several domestic and international purposes: it delegitimizes dissent, consolidates support among conservative constituencies, and signals to regional partners and rivals that Tehran sees the unrest in geostrategic terms. For foreign governments, Washington’s public threats of intervention amplify risk perceptions inside Iran and can be used by Tehran to rally nationalist sentiment and justify security measures.

For outside observers, the episode underscores two connected realities. First, the Iranian state remains determined to project control and to internationalize blame for domestic turbulence. Second, regional actors such as Turkey are balancing criticism of Israel with a desire for stability in neighbours whose instability carries cross-border economic and security costs. Absent credible channels for independent inquiry or political reform, renewed cycles of protest and securitized responses are likely to persist, with attendant regional spillovers.

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