Iran Declares Full Military Readiness, Threatens Widespread Response from Hormuz to U.S. Interests

Iranian parliamentary security officials said on January 25 that the country's armed forces are on full alert and warned of broad retaliation — from the Strait of Hormuz to U.S. regional assets — should Tehran face any attack. The rhetoric follows U.S. announcements of increased naval and missile‑defence deployments, heightening the risk of miscalculation with implications for regional security and global energy markets.

Breathtaking rock formations under clear blue sky on Hormoz Island's arid landscape.

Key Takeaways

  • 1Iranian parliament security officials announced the armed forces are at full readiness in response to perceived adversary military deployments.
  • 2Tehran warned it could strike from the Strait of Hormuz to all U.S. interests in the region and that responses would exceed adversaries' expectations.
  • 3Iranian MPs dismissed U.S. threats as psychological warfare and rejected U.S. negotiation overtures, citing past breaches of trust.
  • 4The statements coincide with U.S. deployments to the Middle East, including an aircraft carrier and missile‑defence systems, raising escalation risks.
  • 5Disruption of the Strait of Hormuz would have outsized effects on global energy markets and regional stability.

Editor's
Desk

Strategic Analysis

Iran's public posturing serves dual purposes: deterrence and domestic signaling. By invoking the Strait of Hormuz and promising disproportionate retaliation, Tehran seeks to raise the political and economic costs of any U.S. or allied military action while reassuring domestic audiences of resolve. Operationally, Iran's leverage is asymmetric — mining, missile strikes, attacks on shipping and proxy operations can impose pain without requiring symmetrical conventional engagement. For the United States and regional partners, options are constrained; a robust military response risks escalation, while restraint invites further coercion. Expect intensified diplomatic activity by Gulf states, Europe and third parties to lower the temperature, alongside heightened commercial hedging in energy and shipping. The most dangerous near‑term risk is inadvertent escalation from a limited incident in and around the Gulf, which could rapidly pull in regional proxies and international forces.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

On January 25, a member of Iran's parliamentary National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, Muhsini Sani, announced that the Islamic Republic's armed forces had entered a state of full readiness in response to what Tehran described as adversary military deployments. Sani said Iran's military was watching "all hostile movements" in the region and had its "finger on the trigger," warning that any infringement would be met with a fierce response.

Iran's warning framed the Strait of Hormuz as a decisive geostrategic lever, with Sani asserting Tehran could use control over the chokepoint to manage and repel external military provocations. He added that any Iranian retaliation would extend from the Hormuz Strait to "all U.S. interests" in the region and would exceed adversaries' expectations in scale and method.

Another commission member, Vahid Ahmadi, dismissed U.S. and Israeli threats as psychological warfare aimed at masking reluctance to fight, and warned that strategic miscalculation by Washington would invite "destructive" strikes on U.S. bases in the region and on Israel. Ahmadi also rejected President Trump's talk of negotiations, saying Tehran would not be lured into talks with a partner it deems untrustworthy and prone to striking during dialogue.

The statements come amid a visible U.S. military buildup in the Middle East. Washington has said it is dispatching a "large fleet" and additional missile-defence assets to the region, including at least one aircraft carrier, as tensions with Tehran have climbed. The resulting standoff raises the risk of miscalculation with implications for regional stability, global energy markets and the security of allied forces and commercial shipping.

Background events that inform the current exchange include years of confrontation between Tehran and Washington, escalatory incidents in Gulf waters and the broader contest between Iran's asymmetric arsenal and U.S. force projection. Control of the Strait of Hormuz is especially consequential: even limited disruptions there can sharply affect oil flows, insurance costs and the strategic calculations of Gulf states and Europe, which have a strong interest in de‑escalation.

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