Washington Ploughs $1.6bn into U.S. Rare-Earth Mines — But Can It Break China’s Grip?

The U.S. is buying a roughly 10% stake in USA Rare Earth for $1.6 billion to hasten domestic rare-earth mining and processing and reduce dependence on China. While the investment is sizeable and politically significant, technical, environmental and resource-quality challenges mean breaking China’s dominance will be a slow and uncertain process.

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Key Takeaways

  • 1The U.S. plans to invest $1.6 billion for about a 10% stake in USA Rare Earth to accelerate domestic rare-earth development.
  • 2This follows a previous $400 million stake in MP Materials in 2025 and is part of a broader strategy to diversify supplies away from China.
  • 3China remains the global leader in rare-earth mining and refining, especially for heavy rare-earths that the U.S. lacks in abundance.
  • 4Establishing a full domestic supply chain requires time, capital, refining technology, environmental compliance and skilled labour, making rapid decoupling unlikely.
  • 5Washington is also pursuing allied partnerships and recycling, but full independence from Chinese processing will be difficult and slow.

Editor's
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Strategic Analysis

The investment is best seen as a strategic insurance policy rather than an immediate solution. Rare earths undergird both green technologies and advanced weapons, so Washington’s objective is to reduce single-source risk and create leverage. However, China’s comparative advantage rests not only on ores but on decades of investment in separation and refining technology, lower labour and compliance costs, and an integrated industrial base. Expect a multipronged U.S. approach — targeted public equity, subsidies for downstream plants, export controls on processing technology, and allied coordination — that will raise global costs and complicate supply chains. If Beijing responds with export restrictions or industrial incentives, market dislocation and higher prices are likely; conversely, cooperative pathways like third-country processing hubs could partially bridge the gap. Ultimately, success will hinge on sustained policy focus, industrial-policy coherence and private-sector willingness to bear the initial losses of building a new ecosystem.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

The U.S. government has moved to acquire roughly a 10% stake in USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) with an investment of $1.6 billion (about RMB 11.1 billion), its largest-ever direct infusion into the rare-earth sector. The purchase is part of a broader push to accelerate domestic extraction and build a homegrown supply chain after a smaller $400 million investment in MP Materials in 2025, which bought the state roughly 15% of that company.

USAR controls significant U.S. rare-earth deposits and is working with partners to develop two domestic projects that would feed American downstream needs. Washington’s bet is that public capital can speed permitting, construction and the creation of refining capacity that has long lagged behind mining, thereby reducing reliance on Chinese processing and exports.

China remains the world’s dominant miner, refiner and exporter of rare-earth elements, and its companies supply the bulk of the specialized processing capacity used in magnets, batteries and defense systems. Even when supplies to the U.S. have been reliable — fulfilment rates to American buyers have often exceeded 90% — the strategic vulnerability is clear: a politically driven curtailment of exports could leave critical industries scrambling.

Yet shifting supply is not simply a matter of opening mines. The United States’ known deposits are concentrated in light rare-earth elements, while heavy rare-earths — which are scarcer and disproportionately important for high-performance permanent magnets and certain defence applications — are much less abundant domestically. Building refining and separation plants, training a skilled workforce, and meeting stringent environmental standards will all add time and cost.

The investment is also part of a wider diversification strategy that includes partnerships with allied producers such as Australia, and incentives for recycling and foreign processing among friendly partners. Still, replicating China’s integrated ecosystem of mining, separation, refining and downstream manufacturing is likely to take years, if not a decade, and will require sustained public and private coordination.

In short, the cash infusion marks a meaningful political signal and a substantive step toward de-risking critical mineral supplies, but it is not a quick fix. The United States can reduce some exposure through investments, partnerships and technology, yet fully disentangling from China’s dominant position will be costly, technically difficult and time-consuming — and outcomes remain uncertain.

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