Cheap Blind-Box Champion Goes Public: Can Sunny & Sandy Turn Volume into a Durable IP Business?

Sunny & Sandy, a low‑price blind‑box maker, has filed to list in Hong Kong after rapid revenue and volume growth driven by a nationwide low‑price, high‑turn retail strategy. The firm has converted short‑term momentum into profit, but rising licensing costs, lack of proprietary IP and thin per‑unit margins create questions about the sustainability of its model.

Red post box on a street wall with striped window blinds behind. Minimalist urban style.

Key Takeaways

  • 1Sunny & Sandy filed for a Hong Kong IPO after 2025 nine‑month revenue surged 134.6% to RMB 386 million and IP toy revenue rose to RMB 303 million.
  • 2The company sells mainstream blind boxes at RMB 9.9 through 32,000 retail points, emphasizing impulse purchases over scarcity and collector premiums.
  • 3Unit volumes grew from 6.4 million in 2023 to 58.1 million in the first three quarters of 2025, but gross margin is a modest 35.3% and licensing costs jumped to RMB 50.77 million.
  • 4Sunny & Sandy has no proprietary IP and depends on short, often non‑exclusive licences, making it vulnerable if partners switch or raise fees.
  • 5Listing will ease funding constraints but does not substitute for building in‑house IP, which the company needs to secure longer‑term pricing power and higher margins.

Editor's
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Strategic Analysis

Sunny & Sandy’s ascent exposes a turning point in China’s collectible‑toy industry: the market is splitting between high‑margin scarcity plays and mass‑market, low‑price strategies. The company has successfully exploited the exhaustion of emotional premium pricing by offering ubiquity and affordability, capturing a broader, less committed buyer base. Yet the sustainability of that strategy is doubtful without owning IP or materially raising prices; both paths carry trade‑offs. Building proprietary IP requires time, creative investment and a different organisational skill set, while price increases risk undermining the very impulse buying that drives volume. For investors and competitors, the firm’s IPO will be a test case: can scale and operational efficiency substitute for creative ownership in a sector where cultural relevance and licensing control increasingly determine long‑term returns?

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

A diminutive player in China’s booming collectible-toy market is making an outsized move. Sunny & Sandy (桑尼森迪), best known for 9.9‑yuan blind boxes sold in convenience stores and neighborhood shops, has filed to list in Hong Kong, thrusting a low‑cost challenger into a sector that has spent the last half‑decade chasing scarcity and emotional premiums.

The company’s 2025 first nine‑month results help explain the timing. Revenue jumped 134.6% year‑on‑year to RMB 386 million, while IP toy sales swelled from RMB 76 million a year earlier to RMB 303 million. Unit volumes exploded too: IP toy shipments rose from 6.4 million in 2023 to 58.1 million in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by expansive retail reach — about 32,000 outlets nationwide by September 2025 — and a play for the “impulse buy” consumer.

Sunny & Sandy’s model is simple: minimise price friction rather than maximise collector fervour. Standard products retail at RMB 9.9, no queues, no lotteries, and no resale premiums. That contrasts starkly with incumbents like Pop Mart (泡泡玛特), where a single premium blind box can cost RMB 69 and where margins have been far higher; Sunny & Sandy’s gross margin sits at 35.3%, implying roughly RMB 3.5 gross profit per item at the standard price.

Scale has offset thin per‑unit returns. The firm has pushed automation to seven‑by‑24 production and high turnover to stimulate repeat purchases, while leveraging licensed properties — both domestic “guochao” IP and international brands — to ride cultural moments. Its bet on the blockbuster animation Nezha 2 paid off: a pre‑sale of over 340,000 sets on Douyin helped the company “go viral” over Chinese New Year and contributed to a swing from a RMB 16.48 million loss in the prior period to RMB 51.96 million net profit in the 2025 nine months.

That success, however, conceals material risks. Licensing costs have ballooned from RMB 6.48 million in 2023 to RMB 50.77 million in the latest period, accounting for roughly 20% of total costs. Sunny & Sandy currently lacks proprietary IP and relies on time‑limited, non‑exclusive licences — some as short as 12 months — creating exposure if partners choose other operators or demand higher fees.

Price discipline compounds the tension. To maintain accessibility in mom‑and‑pop retail channels the company has accepted heavy promotional pricing: some Nezha blind boxes sold for as little as RMB 8.8 in certain outlets, 23% below official pricing. Incremental cost pressure and the difficulty of passing on higher licence fees without eroding the brand’s low‑price appeal leave the company squeezed between margin improvement and customer price sensitivity.

Sunny & Sandy’s IPO bid also reflects a wider maturation of the Chinese collectible and pan‑entertainment market. Several peers — including Kayou, 52TOYS’ parent, TOPTOY, and others — are pursuing listings, and Frost & Sullivan estimates the global pan‑entertainment merchandise market reached about US$82.2 billion in 2024 with an expected five‑year CAGR near 17%. The race is no longer just about securing marquee IP; it is about monetising it more efficiently and building durable conversion from IP to repeat revenue.

The strategic choice for Sunny & Sandy is stark. It can try to translate scale into upward pricing or investment in proprietary IP, or remain a low‑price volume player vulnerable to rising licence costs and sharper competition. Listing will provide capital to buy time, but it will not automatically produce the creative capabilities and exclusive rights that underpin long‑term value in this industry. The company’s near‑term future depends on whether it can convert episodic hits into repeatable, owned franchises without abandoning the price point that made it successful.

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