Cambricon Shares Plunge as Alibaba Unit’s New AI Chip Stokes Market Fears

Cambricon shares plunged nearly 10% as Alibaba’s chip unit unveiled a new high‑end AI chip and reports suggested its Zhenwu PPU shipped at scale in 2025. The drop came despite Cambricon forecasting a strong full‑year turnaround and a fivefold revenue increase, underlining investor concerns about intensifying domestic competition in AI semiconductors.

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Key Takeaways

  • 1Cambricon shares fell almost 10% intraday and market cap dipped below RMB 500 billion.
  • 2Alibaba’s chip unit published the Zhenwu 810E and reports claim Zhenwu PPU shipments reached the hundreds of thousands in 2025.
  • 3Cambricon forecasts a 2025 net profit of RMB 1.85–2.15 billion and revenue of RMB 6–7 billion, a sharp rebound from 2024.
  • 4Rising competition from cloud‑backed chip projects is prompting investor reappraisal of market share and margins in China’s AI‑chip sector.
  • 5Peers such as Moore Threads and Muxi also fell, signalling sector‑wide sensitivity to competitive developments.

Editor's
Desk

Strategic Analysis

The market’s swift punishment of Cambricon reveals how fragile investor confidence can be in a high‑growth, technology‑intensive sector where product credibility, scale and ecosystem ties matter as much as quarterly numbers. Alibaba’s move is strategically potent: a cloud giant that can both design chips and consume them at scale reduces customer switching costs and creates an integrated stack that appeals to enterprise buyers. For Cambricon, sustaining valuation will require demonstrable technical leadership (benchmarks and third‑party validations), deeper commercial anchors with hyperscalers and cloud customers, and a clear path to margin preservation as competition intensifies. Policymakers and industry players will watch closely; stronger domestic rivalry may accelerate innovation but also increase consolidation risks and pricing pressure, reshaping which domestic vendors emerge as long‑term champions.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

Cambricon tumbled sharply in Shanghai trading, with shares slipping as much as nearly 10% intraday and the company’s market capitalisation retreating below RMB 500 billion. The rout rippled through the domestic AI-chip cohort: Moore Threads and Muxi each fell more than 3% as investors reassessed winners and losers in China’s fast‑moving semiconductor race.

The selloff followed two pieces of news that complicated Cambricon’s recent upbeat narrative. Alibaba’s chip arm quietly published details of a new high‑end AI chip called “Zhenwu 810E,” while separate industry sourcing suggested the Zhenwu PPU’s shipments reached the hundreds of thousands in 2025 — a scale the market interpreted as surpassing Cambricon’s volume and placing Alibaba’s in‑house silicon among the leaders in the domestic GPU/PPU field.

That jitter arrived even as Cambricon issued a bullish earnings preview for the full year 2025. The company said it had swung to profit, forecasting net income attributable to shareholders of RMB 1.85 billion to RMB 2.15 billion and adjusted net income of RMB 1.6 billion to RMB 1.9 billion. Revenue is expected to jump to RMB 6 billion–7 billion from just RMB 1.174 billion in 2024, reflecting meteoric growth driven by rising AI compute demand and expanded commercial deployments of Cambricon’s products.

The juxtaposition — an operational turnaround versus fresh competitive pressure — helps explain the market’s reaction. Investors rewarded historical and prospective growth only so long as the company’s competitive lead appeared durable. The appearance of a credible rival from Alibaba, one of China’s largest cloud and internet platforms with tight access to large internal customers and ecosystems, raises questions about share retention, pricing power and long‑term margins for incumbent chipmakers.

Beyond Cambricon and Alibaba, the episode highlights a broader dynamic in China’s semiconductor landscape. Domestic suppliers are scaling rapidly, cloud providers are vertically integrating silicon into their stacks, and investors are quick to reprice companies when technological leadership or go‑to‑market advantages look contested. For Cambricon, the task will be to translate its recent revenue surge into defensible partnerships, sustained performance advantages and evidence that customer wins are sticky rather than fleeting.

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