Tech Earnings and Memory Shortages Trigger Global Risk-Off; Crypto and Silver Plummet as Chinese Stocks Buck the Trend

A sharp risk-off episode on February 5–6 swept US equities, precious metals and cryptocurrencies after mixed earnings and worrying guidance from chip suppliers. Microsoft lost about $152 billion in market value, spot silver plunged nearly 20%, and bitcoin fell over 14% as more than 430,000 leveraged crypto positions were liquidated. Chinese ADRs bucked the trend, posting gains in a selective rally.

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Key Takeaways

  • 1US markets fell on February 5–6 after tech weakness and cautious guidance; Microsoft lost roughly $152.4 billion in market value.
  • 2Qualcomm cited tight global memory supplies and higher prices—driven by AI data‑centre demand—which pressured near‑term chip orders.
  • 3Chinese ADRs outperformed, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index up 0.9%, highlighting selective flows into China equities.
  • 4Spot silver plunged nearly 20% and spot gold fell about 4%, suggesting heavy deleveraging in precious‑metal positions.
  • 5Bitcoin dropped over 14% to about $62,912, triggering roughly $2.06 billion in liquidations across some 430,667 crypto positions.

Editor's
Desk

Strategic Analysis

This episode is a reminder that market narratives can collide: AI-driven demand is structurally bullish for semiconductors, yet the current supply squeeze in memory chips is creating near-term pain for suppliers and OEMs and forcing muted guidance—precisely the kind of earnings surprise that punctures stretched tech valuations. Simultaneously, crowded long positions in leveraged commodities and crypto can transform a risk‑off reprice into a feedback loop of liquidations. For policymakers and market infrastructure providers the key near‑term questions are whether volatility will be transient as inventories and positioning adjust, or whether the shock will force broader deleveraging and tighter liquidity conditions. Investors should treat this as a calibration moment: re‑assess leverage, diversify exposures across macro regimes, and monitor AI capex cycles and memory supply developments as the principal economic drivers over the next 12–18 months.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

Global markets turned abruptly risk-off on February 5–6 as weakness in US technology names and worrying guidance from a major chip supplier rippled through equities, commodities and crypto markets. The Dow fell 592.58 points (1.2%), the Nasdaq lost 1.59% and the S&P 500 dropped 1.23%, while heavyweight Microsoft slid 4.95%, erasing roughly $152.4 billion of market value in a single session.

Earnings and guidance drove much of the move. Amazon posted stronger-than-expected Q4 revenue and modest profit growth, but its revenue guidance for the coming quarter and plans for roughly $200 billion of capital expenditure through 2026 unnerved investors and sent the stock down more than 11% in after-hours trading. Qualcomm plunged nearly 9% after warning that tight global memory supplies and rising prices—fueled by surging AI data‑centre demand—are compressing customers’ inventories and curbing near-term orders, a reminder that AI-driven demand is creating winners and acute supply bottlenecks at the same time.

Against that backdrop, many Chinese ADRs bucked the direction of US tech, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index up 0.9% and names such as NIO and Li Auto advancing. The divergent performance suggests selective flows into Chinese growth stocks that still offer attractive earnings narratives or shorter-term catalysts, even as broad risk appetite wanes elsewhere.

Markets beyond equities were roiled. Precious metals suffered sudden, deep selling: spot silver plunged nearly 20% to below $71 an ounce and spot gold fell about 4% to $4,774.48 an ounce. The scale of the move implies heavy deleveraging in leveraged metal positions and funds, and it underscores how a spike in risk aversion can trigger abrupt unwindings of previously crowded trades.

Cryptocurrencies were hit hardest: bitcoin slid more than 14% to roughly $62,912, and derivatives trackers show a dramatic liquidation event. Data from CoinGlass recorded about 430,667 liquidated positions in 24 hours, totaling roughly $2.06 billion (about RMB 143 billion). Prominent investors and analysts have gone public with bleak assessments—Michael Burry has argued bitcoin has behaved as pure speculation since its October peak, and CryptoQuant’s Carmelo Alemán has declared the market in a capitulation phase.

The episode illustrates how earnings shocks, supply‑side constraints in semiconductors, and concentrated leverage across asset classes can amplify one another. Memory tightness driven by AI spending is tightening margins and inventories in the chip supply chain, weighing on semiconductor and OEM suppliers; that in turn feeds into equity valuations. Meanwhile, forced selling in metals and crypto can accelerate price moves and impose losses on retail and leveraged participants, raising short-term systemic‑risk questions for trading venues and brokers.

Near term, investors should watch Q1 corporate guidance, memory and AI supply signals, and macro data and central bank commentary that might alter interest‑rate expectations. The market event underscores that volatility is not confined to a single sector: when leverage and sentiment shift, cross‑asset contagion can be swift and deep, making active risk management essential for institutions and retail holders alike.

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