A‑Shares Slip as Year‑of‑the‑Snake Ends; Memory Rally and Semiconductor Demand Clash with Thin Liquidity

China’s A‑share market ended the lunar year with a broad decline as liquidity remained thin and sector rotations produced mixed outcomes. Memory prices and semiconductor equipment demand provided focused strength, while material cost rises and data‑security policy continued to reshape investment themes.

Detailed view of RAM sticks and microprocessors on a motherboard.

Key Takeaways

  • 1Shanghai, Shenzhen and ChiNext all fell more than 1% on Feb. 14 as turnover dipped below CNY 2 trillion and about 3,900 stocks closed lower.
  • 2Robotics, PCB materials and semiconductor equipment were among the best‑performing themes; solar equipment, metals and chemicals lagged.
  • 3Counterpoint data showed Q1 2026 memory prices up 80–90% quarter‑on‑quarter, driven by server DRAM demand.
  • 4Resonac’s announced >30% price hikes for PCB materials from March 1 lifted copper‑foil suppliers but could pressure downstream margins.
  • 5Brokerages (China Galaxy, CITIC) expect sustained semiconductor equipment demand and elevated cybersecurity demand due to AI compute growth and China’s tightening data‑security framework.

Editor's
Desk

Strategic Analysis

The market action on Feb. 14 underscores a bifurcated China investment story: on one side, powerful structural forces — cloud and AI‑driven compute demand, re‑shoring of chip supply chains and stricter data‑security enforcement — are creating multi‑year demand tails for semiconductor equipment and cybersecurity vendors. On the other side, liquidity fluctuations around the Lunar New Year and episodic commodity‑and‑materials shocks (notably the copper‑foil price rise) can create abrupt rotations and concentrated rallies that are hard to sustain. For international investors and supply‑chain managers, the practical implications are clear: expect higher capex in foundries and packaging to sustain demand for equipment makers, but also anticipate input‑cost inflation and policy compliance costs that will reshape margins and sourcing decisions. A cautious, selective approach focused on companies with pricing power, integrated supply chains, or deep domestic enterprise relationships will likely outperform broad market exposure as 2026 unfolds.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

China’s A‑share market closed the lunar Year of the Snake on a downbeat note on Feb. 14, with the three major indices sliding more than 1% after a day of intraday volatility. The Shanghai Composite fell 1.26% to 4,082.07, the Shenzhen Component dropped 1.28% to 14,100.19 and the ChiNext index lost 1.57% to 3,275.96. Turnover across Shanghai and Shenzhen was light: total daily volume came in at about CNY 1.98 trillion, under the CNY 2 trillion mark that market participants often watch as a sign of robust activity, and roughly 3,900 stocks across Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing ended lower.

Sector rotation characterised the session, with pockets of strength in defence equipment, cinema chains, paper, semiconductor equipment and automotive smart‑cockpit suppliers while solar equipment, minor metals, steel, ports and shipping, oil and gas services, glyphosate makers, rare‑earth permanent magnets and chemical companies lagged. The robotics theme revived in the afternoon after comments by Yushuzhihui (Yushi) founder and CEO Wang Xingxing, who told CCTV that “embodied intelligence” — AI integrated into robots and physical systems — could one day dwarf the mobile‑internet boom in scale and attention. That remark helped names such as Shuanglin (双林股份) soar more than 10%, while other automation and robotics plays pushed higher.

Printed circuit board (PCB) related stocks also rallied after copper‑foil suppliers jumped, with Tongguan Copper Foil (铜冠铜箔) rising more than 10% to a new high. The move followed an announcement by Japan’s semiconductor materials maker Resonac that it will increase prices of copper‑clad laminates (CCL), adhesive films and other PCB inputs by over 30% from March 1, a change that would directly affect PCB margins and downstream electronics costs. Domestic PCB material names such as Huibo New Materials (惠柏新材) and Jiangnan New Material (江南新材) tracked higher on the news.

Meanwhile, memory chip stocks unexpectedly outperformed amid a sharp snapback in DRAM prices. A Counterpoint price‑tracking report cited by the market showed that memory prices rose 80–90% quarter‑on‑quarter into Q1 2026, driven principally by a rebound in general‑purpose server DRAM. That helped several storage and memory suppliers rally, with Shenzhen Technology (深科技) hitting its daily limit‑up and other chip names following suit. Conversely, the CPO (communications‑platform‑oriented) theme weakened in the afternoon, with several stocks posting outsized losses and some hitting circuit breakers.

Brokerage research notes are amplifying the narrative that structural demand will sustain equipment spending. China Galaxy Securities flagged strong growth expectations for the 2026 semiconductor equipment market, pointing to persistent AI compute demand, an upturn in the memory cycle and deeper adoption of advanced packaging; Taiwan’s TSMC is forecast to boost capital expenditure to USD 52–56 billion in 2026, underscoring the scale of investment in chips. CITIC Securities highlighted an accelerating policy push on data security in China, arguing that tighter rules and enforcement will sustain demand for cybersecurity products and services and create durable winners among vendors with broad product suites and enterprise footprints.

The session is a reminder of two concurrent trends shaping China’s markets: a speculative, theme‑driven rotation into technology and defence ideas on the one hand, and an underlying liquidity caution around major calendar events on the other. The recent surge in memory prices and the prospect of sustained equipment spending are constructive for the semiconductor supply chain, but several cross‑currents — material price inflation, policy‑driven demand for domestic cybersecurity solutions, and uneven market breadth — mean gains may be concentrated and volatile rather than broad‑based.

Share Article

Related Articles

📰
No related articles found