European Leaders at Munich Call for True Strategic Autonomy — Not Just Rhetoric

At the Munich Security Conference on February 13, Chancellor Friedrich Merz and other European leaders publicly pressed for stronger "strategic autonomy," citing vulnerabilities exposed by war, pandemic and shifting U.S. priorities. Turning the idea into policy will require painful budget choices, industrial coordination and careful management of transatlantic ties.

A black and white image of security personnel in suits overseeing a formal event.

Key Takeaways

  • 1European leaders at the 62nd Munich Security Conference urged stronger strategic autonomy on Feb 13.
  • 2Drivers include the war in Ukraine, pandemic-era supply shocks and a U.S. pivot to the Indo‑Pacific.
  • 3Practical steps likely involve pooled defence procurement, industrial policy for critical technologies, and supply‑chain resilience.
  • 4Efforts risk straining transatlantic coordination and will face political and fiscal hurdles among EU members.

Editor's
Desk

Strategic Analysis

The Munich exhortation for strategic autonomy marks a turning point in European debate: no longer is autonomy merely a normative aspiration, it is becoming a policy imperative. If followed through, this could accelerate EU defence industrial integration, reshape technology and trade policy toward selective protection and resilience, and push Europe into a more assertive international posture. The crucial inflection points will be whether Brussels and national capitals can build financing mechanisms and binding procurement rules, and whether they manage the relationship with the United States so autonomy complements rather than competes with NATO. Failure to produce concrete measures risks deepening fragmentation—success could produce a more capable, if more geopolitically independent, Europe.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

On February 13 in Munich, Chancellor Friedrich Merz opened the 62nd Munich Security Conference and joined other European leaders in urging a renewed push for "strategic autonomy." The remarks, photographed and reported by Xinhua, came amid a growing sense in European capitals that the continent must be less dependent on external powers for its security, technology and energy needs.

The call for autonomy is less a rejection of alliances than an admission of fragility. Europe’s leaders framed the debate around three linked vulnerabilities: the shock of Russia’s war in Ukraine, supply-chain weaknesses revealed by the pandemic, and a shifting U.S. strategic focus toward the Indo‑Pacific. Taken together, those pressures have convinced many in Europe that relying on partners alone will not guarantee the capacity to act decisively in crises.

What this means in practice is a mix of defence, industrial and diplomatic measures. Expect renewed arguments for pooled procurement of weapons, more concerted industrial policy to protect and develop critical technologies, and policies to secure energy and supply chains. Such changes require money and political cohesion: defence integration and industrial subsidies will force hard choices about budgets, procurement rules and relations with long-standing trade partners.

The push for autonomy also carries geopolitical trade-offs. European policymakers insist they seek complementarity with NATO and the United States rather than strategic decoupling. Yet a more capable and independent Europe could complicate transatlantic coordination over burden‑sharing and foreign policy priorities, especially if member states pursue divergent policies toward China or Russia.

Bringing rhetoric into reality will be difficult. Member states differ widely in threat perceptions, industrial capacity and willingness to spend. The Munich consensus—calling for stronger autonomy—now needs conversion into concrete proposals: binding procurement frameworks, pooled financing mechanisms and coordinated technology standards. Absent those, the phrase "strategic autonomy" risks remaining a convenient slogan rather than a strategy.

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