IRGC Says It Can Sustain Six Months of High‑Intensity Strikes, Threatens New Long‑Range Attacks on Israel and US Forces

The IRGC says Iran can sustain high‑intensity operations for at least six months and has warned it will deploy more advanced long‑range missiles in the coming days. The announcement, tied to a sequence of claimed strikes in an operation called “True Promise 4,” is aimed at signaling endurance and deterrence to Israel, the United States and regional actors.

Close-up of KH-35UE missile displayed at Aero India 2025 in Bengaluru, India.

Key Takeaways

  • 1IRGC claims Iran can sustain high‑intensity warfare for at least six months at the current tempo.
  • 2Tehran asserts it has heavy, ballistic and cruise missiles, drones and attack vessels and will deploy more advanced long‑range missiles soon.
  • 3IRGC reported strikes in the 28th wave of its “True Promise 4” campaign, claiming hits on Azraq air base and military targets in Tel Aviv and Beersheba.
  • 4The proclamation is both operational messaging and strategic signalling; independent verification of specific strikes was not provided.

Editor's
Desk

Strategic Analysis

The IRGC’s public claim is strategic theatre as much as tactical reporting: by advertising endurance and the threat of more sophisticated munitions, Tehran raises the political and logistical costs for the US, Israel and host nations while seeking to deter further strikes against its interests. If Iran actually shifts to rarer, longer‑range systems, it could expand the geographic reach and destructive potential of its campaign, forcing a sustained reallocation of missile‑defence assets and logistics in the region. Conversely, the announcement also increases incentives for adversaries to pursue ways to blunt Iran’s strike capacity — including covert disruption, pre‑emptive operations, or bolstered defences — any of which would raise the risk of miscalculation. The most consequential near‑term variable is whether the IRGC moves from rhetoric to demonstrable employment of advanced systems; that will determine whether this is a posture meant to buy leverage or the opening salvo of a protracted regional conflict.

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China Daily Brief

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has publicly declared that Iran’s armed forces can sustain a high‑intensity campaign at the current tempo for at least six months, signalling a willingness to prolong and intensify strikes against Israeli and US targets in the Middle East. IRGC spokesman Saeed Naeini said Tehran has equipped itself for “large‑scale, long‑duration” conflict with heavy and ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, a range of drones and attack vessels, and that more advanced long‑range weapons will be deployed in the coming days.

In a statement tied to the IRGC’s “True Promise 4” campaign, the force said its missiles and drones carried out a “fierce” strike in the 28th wave of attacks, hitting US targets and Israeli military sites. The bulletin claimed a strike on Azraq air base — a Jordanian facility that hosts US rotations — and said ballistic missiles struck military targets in Tel Aviv and Beersheba, using a model described as carrying an “extra‑heavy” warhead.

The IRGC also highlighted the Khorramshahr‑4 (霍拉姆沙赫尔‑4) missile, asserting that a launch from Iranian territory would reach Israel or US bases in the region within 10–12 minutes. Tehran said it has mainly used first‑ and second‑generation missiles so far, but warned of the imminent use of more advanced, less‑frequently used long‑range systems intended to deliver “more painful, more targeted” blows.

If taken at face value, the claims are intended both as operational signalling and psychological pressure. Announcing a six‑month endurance frames Iran not merely as capable of isolated retaliatory strikes but as prepared for a sustained campaign that could tie down Israeli and US forces, complicate regional logistics, and increase the political costs of escalation for regional states hosting foreign troops.

Several important caveats temper the immediate strategic reading. The IRGC’s account is a self‑reported operational narrative that Western and Israeli officials typically treat with caution; independent verification of many of the specific strikes the statement describes was not supplied in the bulletin. Nonetheless, the public claim itself is consequential — even unverified threats force adversaries to adjust force posture, air defences and rules of engagement.

The longer horizon matters for Washington and its partners. A sustained strike campaign would place continuing strain on missile and air‑defence stocks, force rotations and logistics bases across the Gulf, Levant and eastern Mediterranean. It would also raise the prospect of broader escalation: more advanced Iranian strike systems could expand the range and lethality of attacks, while US or Israeli counter‑measures could aim to degrade Iran’s launch capabilities or stockpiles, heightening the risk of miscalculation.

What to watch next is whether Tehran follows through on deploying the advanced long‑range missiles it referenced, how quickly the US and Israel publicly and privately respond, and whether regional host governments take steps to alter basing, transit rights or maritime security. For now, the IRGC’s announcement is a calibrated mixture of capability claims and deterrent signalling designed to shape adversaries’ calculations without necessarily crossing thresholds that would produce an immediate, escalatory military backlash.

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