China’s Equity Markets Rebound as the ‘Compute-Power Nexus’ Sparks a Green Energy Surge

Chinese markets rallied strongly on March 25, led by the power and telecommunications sectors as data revealed a thousand-fold increase in AI token usage over the past two years. Investors are increasingly focusing on the synergy between green energy and digital infrastructure, while traditional energy stocks cooled amid shifting geopolitical signals in the Middle East.

Close-up of colorful coding text on a dark computer screen, representing software development.

Key Takeaways

  • 1The Shanghai Composite regained the 3,900-point level with total market turnover exceeding 2.1 trillion RMB.
  • 2National token usage for AI models has surged to 140 trillion per day, driving demand for massive computing infrastructure.
  • 3Green energy and wind power stocks surged due to the strategic 'Compute-Power Coordination' policy which links data centers to renewable grids.
  • 4SK Hynix’s $10 billion AI infrastructure push and new domestic fiber-optic transmission records boosted the semiconductor and CPO sectors.
  • 5Geopolitical rumors of a ceasefire in the Middle East led to a pullback in oil, gas, and coal stocks as supply concerns eased.

Editor's
Desk

Strategic Analysis

The current market movement reflects a sophisticated evolution in China’s 'New Productive Forces' narrative. We are seeing a transition from purely speculative bets on software and LLMs to a 'hardware-first' investment thesis that prioritizes the energy-compute nexus. By integrating green energy development with data center expansion (算电协同), Beijing is attempting to solve the existential energy bottleneck facing AI growth. For global investors, this indicates that the next phase of Chinese equity growth may not be found in consumer internet platforms, but in the industrial and electrical infrastructure that powers the AI age. The decoupling of tech sentiment from traditional energy—where tech rises as oil falls—suggests the market is beginning to price in a future where digital efficiency and energy independence are the primary drivers of national competitiveness.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

The Chinese mainland equity markets staged a significant recovery on March 25, with major benchmarks reclaiming psychological strongholds. The Shanghai Composite Index surged past the 3,900-point mark, while the tech-heavy ChiNext Index stabilized above 3,300, underpinned by a massive 2.18 trillion RMB trading volume. This broad-based rally saw over 4,800 stocks advancing, signaling a return of investor appetite following recent periods of volatility.

The primary catalyst for the day’s momentum was an extraordinary surge in artificial intelligence infrastructure demand. The National Data Bureau revealed that daily token usage for AI models in China has skyrocketed from 100 billion at the start of 2024 to over 140 trillion this month. This thousand-fold increase in digital activity has shifted market focus toward the physical backbone of AI: computing power and the massive electrical grids required to sustain it.

Energy stocks became the unlikely stars of this high-tech rally, driven by the concept of 'Compute-Power Coordination' now embedded in official government work reports. Investors are increasingly betting on the synergy between green energy and data centers, anticipating that the expansion of AI will necessitate a massive build-out of wind and solar capacity. Major brokerage Citic Securities projects that this dual demand for green fuels and computing power could drive nearly 465GW of new wind power demand by 2030.

In the telecommunications sector, breakthrough achievements in optical fiber transmission provided further tailwinds. Chinese researchers successfully recorded a 2.5 petabits-per-second real-time transmission capacity, reinforcing China’s competitive stance in global communication infrastructure. This technological milestone, coupled with news of SK Hynix’s $10 billion fundraising plan for AI-related semiconductor clusters, catalyzed significant gains in CPO (Co-packaged Optics) and chip-making equipment stocks.

Conversely, traditional energy and fossil fuel sectors faced downward pressure as geopolitical rumors hinted at a potential breakthrough in Middle Eastern ceasefire negotiations. Oil and gas stocks retreated as global supply risks appeared to soften, while the coal and photovoltaic equipment sectors lagged behind the broader market surge. This rotation suggests a tactical shift from defensive 'old energy' positions toward the high-growth 'new infrastructure' sectors defined by the AI revolution.

Leading financial institutions like CICC and Guosen Securities maintain that the current market valuation represents a medium-term low, offering a strategic entry point for long-term investors. While short-term volatility remains a factor, the underlying logic of China’s economic transition toward advanced manufacturing and AI remains intact. The consensus among top-tier analysts is that the recent correction has effectively flushed out excessive risk, leaving the market ripe for a 'steady progress' trajectory focused on structural upgrades.

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