The Great Rebalancing: Meituan Emerges Scathed but Stronger from China’s 150-Billion-Yuan Delivery War

Meituan has successfully defended its 60% market share in China's food delivery sector following a massive 150-billion-yuan industry-wide subsidy war. The company is now pivoting toward AI-driven efficiency and international expansion as regulators call for an end to 'irrational' price wars.

A black and white photo capturing Nanshan's Overseas Chinese Exhibition Hall at dusk.

Key Takeaways

  • 1Meituan maintained over 60% of food delivery GTV despite a combined 150 billion RMB industry-wide subsidy burn in 2025.
  • 2Total revenue grew 8% to 364.9 billion RMB, supported by a 23.5% surge in R&D spending focused on AI and autonomous delivery.
  • 3The 'Keeta' international brand has turned unit-profitable in Hong Kong and is expanding into Saudi Arabia and Brazil.
  • 4The Chinese government has signaled an end to the 'delivery wars,' urging platforms to return to competition based on technology and service rather than subsidies.
  • 5Meituan holds over 160 billion RMB in cash and equivalents, providing a significant buffer for long-term strategic investments.

Editor's
Desk

Strategic Analysis

Meituan's performance in 2025 illustrates a masterclass in 'defensive spending.' While many analysts feared the entry of deep-pocketed challengers like ByteDance would erode Meituan's moat, the incumbent has proven that high-frequency local logistics is a game of operational density rather than just marketing spend. The most critical takeaway is the shift in the regulatory climate; the Chinese government's recent 'ceasefire' order on subsidies acts as a windfall for Meituan. It allows the company to transition from a capital-intensive defense to a margin-expansive harvest phase. As Meituan integrates its LongCat AI model and scales its 'instant retail' infrastructure, it is evolving from a mere delivery app into a critical layer of China's urban digital infrastructure, making it increasingly indispensable to both merchants and the central government's goal of boosting domestic consumption.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

For China’s food delivery giants, 2025 will be remembered as the year of 'scorched earth' economics. A brutal subsidy war involving three major platforms saw a staggering 150 billion RMB (approximately $21 billion) evaporated in a bid for market dominance. Yet, as the dust settles, Meituan has emerged not just as a survivor, but as a disciplined incumbent that successfully defended its fortress with surgical precision.

According to its 2025 annual performance report, Meituan’s total revenue climbed 8% to 364.9 billion RMB, a resilient figure considering the macro-economic headwinds and the predatory pricing environment. While its core local commerce segment recorded a 6.9 billion RMB operating loss due to the high cost of defensive subsidies, the company managed to hold its ground, maintaining a dominant 60% share of total Gross Transaction Value (GTV) in the delivery sector.

Strategic observers note that Meituan’s losses were less a sign of operational decay and more an intentional 'long-term account.' By the fourth quarter of 2025, the company’s core commerce losses narrowed significantly to 10 billion RMB, a sharp sequential improvement that signals the efficiency of its unit economics. This recovery was bolstered by a sophisticated AI-driven couponing system that allowed Meituan to match competitors' discounts with far fewer total resources.

Beyond the delivery war, Meituan has been quietly pivoting toward a future defined by high-tech logistics and artificial intelligence. The company poured 26 billion RMB into R&D during 2025, a 23.5% increase year-on-year. This investment fueled the launch of 'Xiao Mei' and 'Xiao Tuan,' AI life assistants powered by the proprietary LongCat large language model, which are transforming user interactions from simple keyword searches into complex demand-based fulfillment.

Furthermore, the company is successfully diversifying its footprint through its 'instant retail' initiative. By leveraging 'flash warehouses' and a 30-minute delivery promise, Meituan has expanded its reach from hot meals to high-margin categories like 3C electronics, pharmaceuticals, and luxury alcohol. Its subsidiary, 'Waima Songjiu,' has seen explosive growth, while its international brand, Keeta, has achieved unit-profitability in Hong Kong and is aggressively expanding into the Middle East and Brazil.

Perhaps most significantly, the era of irrational competition appears to be reaching an state-mandated end. Following an editorial in the Economic Daily and signals from the State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR), the industry has been warned to move away from 'involution'—the destructive cycle of over-competition. This regulatory pivot provides Meituan with a clear path to profit restoration, as it can finally begin to wind down subsidies and harvest the immense network effects it has spent billions to protect.

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