The A-share market entered the Qingming Festival break on a somber note, characterized by a pronounced contraction in trading volume and a broad-based retreat across nearly all sectors. On April 3rd, the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index fell 1%, while the entrepreneurial-heavy ChiNext dropped 0.73%. More telling was the liquidity drain; daily turnover plummeted to 1.67 trillion yuan, the lowest level recorded since the start of 2026, signaling a profound "wait-and-see" attitude among both institutional and retail investors.
This retreat was driven primarily by a desire to mitigate exposure to "over-the-weekend" risks. With the Middle East witnessing heightened geopolitical volatility and international oil prices threatening to reignite global inflationary pressures, Chinese investors opted for cash over equities. The three-day closure served as a catalyst for capital withdrawal, especially as domestic market participants kept a wary eye on how external shocks might manifest during the market hiatus.
Despite the general gloom, a stark divergence emerged in sector performance. While over 4,700 stocks ended the day in the red, "hard tech" segments like communications and electronics managed to stay afloat. Leaders in the Co-packaged Optics (CPO) space, such as Zhongji Innolight and Eoptolink, maintained high turnover and positive returns, reflecting a structural shift toward high-certainty growth sectors. Conversely, former darlings like power equipment and new energy—exemplified by declines in CATL and Sungrow—faced significant selling pressure.
Looking ahead to the post-holiday sessions, the market’s trajectory hinges on two critical factors: volume and earnings. Analysts suggest that the current "low volume" might signal a temporary bottom if support levels at the 3,870 mark hold, but a further breach could invite deeper downside. As April progresses, the focus will shift from geopolitical noise to fundamental reality, as the first-quarter earnings season begins in earnest, forcing a re-evaluation of whether the recent tech-led rally is backed by genuine fiscal performance.
