The Oracle’s New Play: Why Duan Yongping is Betting on Pop Mart’s Global Ambition

Renowned value investor Duan Yongping has pivoted from skeptic to bull on Pop Mart, utilizing an options-based strategy to build a position. His conviction stems from Pop Mart's successful international expansion and robust IP portfolio, despite recent market volatility following conservative growth guidance.

A lively crowd gathers outside the Pop Mart entrance in Taiwan, showcasing vibrant city life and activity.

Key Takeaways

  • 1Duan Yongping is building a position in Pop Mart by selling put options, a strategy designed to generate income or lower acquisition costs.
  • 2The investor's shift was triggered by a London store visit, where he observed that 90% of customers were locals, validating the brand's cross-cultural appeal.
  • 3Pop Mart’s 2025 revenue grew by 184.7% to 37.1 billion RMB, though its stock price recently fell due to concerns over slowing future growth.
  • 4Duan identifies Pop Mart’s core moats as its artist contracts, global retail footprint, and the leadership of founder Wang Ning.
  • 5The stock is currently trading at a forward P/E of 11-13x, which Duan views as an attractive valuation compared to international entertainment giants.

Editor's
Desk

Strategic Analysis

Duan Yongping's endorsement of Pop Mart marks a critical turning point for how international investors view Chinese consumer brands. For years, the narrative around Pop Mart was centered on the 'gambling' nature of blind boxes and domestic saturation. However, Duan’s focus on the London performance suggests a more profound shift: Pop Mart is transitioning from a retail company to a global IP powerhouse. By successfully exporting 'emotional value' rather than just cheap commodities, Pop Mart is demonstrating that Chinese soft power can be monetized. The current valuation disconnect—where the market punishes a return to 'normal' growth despite massive profitability—offers a classic contrarian opportunity. This move suggests that the next phase of Chinese investment growth lies in brands that can command brand loyalty and premium margins in Western markets, moving beyond the price-war strategies of the past.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

Duan Yongping, often hailed as the 'Warren Buffett of China' and the architect of the BBK electronics empire, has made a decisive move into the collectible toy market. Through a series of social media disclosures, Duan revealed he has begun building a position in Pop Mart (09992.HK) using a 'selling puts' strategy. This tactical maneuver allows him to collect premiums while standing ready to acquire shares at a discount if the price dips below his strike price, reflecting a sophisticated entry into a sector he once publicly dismissed.

Only months ago, Duan’s stance on Pop Mart was one of profound skepticism. He compared the 'blind box' craze to transient fads like hula hoops or digital pets, questioning the sustainability of its business model. However, a deep dive into the company’s 2025 financial performance and a field visit to its London Westfield store sparked a radical change of heart. Seeing that local non-Chinese customers accounted for 90% of the London store’s traffic convinced Duan that Pop Mart is no longer just a domestic trend but a pioneer of Chinese cultural internationalization.

The investment comes at a time of significant market volatility for the toy maker. Despite a stellar 2025 fiscal year—where revenue surged 184% to 37.1 billion RMB and net profit ballooned by 284%—the stock suffered a massive sell-off. The market panicked over conservative 2026 growth guidance of 20%, which seemed lackluster compared to the previous year’s triple-digit explosion. This divergence between blockbuster earnings and a collapsing share price created what value investors call the 'margin of safety.'

Duan’s entry serves as a masterclass in his '懂了才投' (invest only when you understand) philosophy. By analyzing the intellectual property (IP) moats—such as the LABUBU series which alone generated 14 billion RMB—and the brand’s ability to transcend cultural barriers, he determined that the long-term value outweighs short-term growth deceleration. While institutional funds were trimming their holdings in late 2025, Duan saw a 'right price' window, noting that Pop Mart’s valuation had fallen well below global peers like Disney and Bandai Namco.

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