The Hubris of the High-Leverage King: China’s Property Reckoning Reaches the Courtroom

The trial of Evergrande founder Xu Jiayin signifies the end of China's high-leverage property era and a shift toward criminal accountability for corporate mismanagement. Facing eight charges including fraud and bribery, Xu's downfall reflects the systemic dismantling of the 'Three Highs' business model that once dominated the Chinese economy.

High-rise buildings in Hong Kong under a clear blue sky, showcasing urban density and modern architecture.

Key Takeaways

  • 1Xu Jiayin pleaded guilty to eight criminal charges including fraudulent issuance of securities and illegal fundraising at his trial in Shenzhen.
  • 2Regulators found Evergrande inflated its revenue by more than 564 billion yuan ($78 billion) between 2019 and 2020, leading to a lifetime ban from the securities market for Xu.
  • 3Unlike other developers who attempted to rescue their firms with personal wealth, Xu and his team are scrutinized for early share sell-offs and failure to prioritize debt restructuring.
  • 4The case marks a shift in Chinese policy where financial stability is now treated as a matter of national security, transitioning from civil to criminal enforcement in corporate failures.
  • 5Evergrande officially delisted from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in August 2025, with its market value having collapsed by 99.5% from its peak.

Editor's
Desk

Strategic Analysis

The legal proceedings against Xu Jiayin represent a watershed moment for China’s political economy, signaling that the 'too big to fail' era for private developers is over. By pursuing criminal charges rather than just financial penalties, Beijing is sending a clear message to the billionaire class: loyalty to the state's financial stability overrides the prestige of private enterprise. The contrast between Evergrande’s liquidation and the more managed defaults of its peers suggests that the severity of Xu's punishment is tied to his perceived defiance of regulatory warnings and the social instability caused by his wealth management products. This case effectively closes the book on the debt-fueled growth model of the last three decades, forcing the industry into a painful 'de-financialization' process that will prioritize housing delivery over corporate expansion for years to come.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

The trial of Xu Jiayin, once China’s richest man and the architect of the world’s most indebted property developer, marks the definitive end of an era. Standing before the Shenzhen Intermediate People's Court, the 67-year-old founder of Evergrande Group faced a litany of charges including fraudulent issuance of securities, illegal fundraising, and bribery. His public admission of guilt signals more than just a personal downfall; it represents the Chinese state’s transition from treating property defaults as civil disputes to matters of severe criminal liability.

Evergrande’s trajectory was defined by an obsessive pursuit of scale, a psychological byproduct of Xu’s upbringing in extreme poverty in rural Henan. After a decade in the state-owned steel industry, Xu brought a heavy-industry logic of volume and momentum to the nascent real estate market in 1990s Guangzhou. His strategy was deceptively simple: acquire land cheaply, build rapidly, and sell at high volume to ensure a constant flow of cash, regardless of profit margins.

This high-leverage machine nearly collapsed during the 2008 financial crisis, only to be saved by a critical injection of capital from Hong Kong tycoons. Rather than tempering his ambitions, the rescue emboldened Xu, who proceeded to list Evergrande in Hong Kong in 2009 and embarked on a decade of unbridled expansion. By 2016, Evergrande was China’s top-selling developer, and Xu’s personal wealth reached heights symbolized by his infamous Hermes belt and ownership of Asia’s most successful football club.

Behind the facade of success lay a labyrinth of debt and diversification that lacked economic logic. Billions were poured into electric vehicles that were never produced and spring water ventures that bled cash, primarily to maintain a narrative of growth for creditors. By the time regulators introduced the 'Three Red Lines' in 2020 to curb property sector leverage, Evergrande was already too bloated to pivot, eventually defaulting on $300 billion in liabilities and triggering a systemic crisis.

What distinguishes Xu from other embattled property moguls, such as the heads of Country Garden or Sunac, is the perceived lack of personal sacrifice and the scale of deception. While peers injected personal funds to stabilize their firms, Xu’s core team was accused of offloading shares before the collapse, and auditors later discovered the company had inflated its revenue by over $78 billion. This breach of trust with the state and the public made a criminal conclusion inevitable, culminating in the 2024 liquidation order and his current trial.

As Evergrande is delisted and its assets dismantled, the case stands as a stark warning to China’s private sector. The 'Three Highs' model—high leverage, high turnover, and high expansion—is now officially bankrupt, replaced by a state-enforced focus on financial security and social stability. Xu Jiayin’s journey from a village boy to a billionaire prisoner mirrors the volatile history of Chinese real estate, serving as a grim metaphor for the costs of unchecked growth.

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