The Liquor King’s Pivot: Zhang Kun Bets on Global Chips as China’s Recovery Stutters

China's leading fund manager Zhang Kun has significantly increased his stake in global semiconductor giants like ASML while maintaining maximum weight in domestic liquor stocks, despite a decline in total AUM and fund performance.

Businessman in a suit poised at his desk, exuding leadership in a modern office setting.

Key Takeaways

  • 1Total AUM for Zhang Kun's funds dropped to 41.67 billion yuan due to net redemptions and market underperformance.
  • 2Zhang increased his position in ASML by over 1,500% in his Asia Selection fund, signaling a major move into global tech.
  • 3High-end baijiu brands like Kweichow Moutai remain 'top-loaded' at the 10% regulatory limit despite absolute share reductions.
  • 4Zhang argues that domestic economic signs, including hotel RevPAR and core city property prices, suggest a cyclical recovery is underway.
  • 5Three out of four of Zhang's funds failed to beat their respective performance benchmarks in Q1 2026.

Editor's
Desk

Strategic Analysis

Zhang Kun's shift represents a 'barbell strategy' designed to survive a prolonged domestic slump. By tethering his portfolio to global semiconductor monopolies like ASML, he is seeking growth that is decoupled from China's regulatory and demographic headwinds. However, his refusal to abandon the high-end liquor trade—historically the 'gold standard' for Chinese growth—shows he is doubling down on a traditional consumption rebound. The massive redemptions suggest that his investors' patience is wearing thin, making this pivot into global tech as much a move for survival as it is for alpha. If the '曙光' (first light) of consumption recovery he predicts fails to materialize, the pressure on his remaining AUM will reach a breaking point.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

Zhang Kun, once the undisputed star of China’s retail investment boom, is navigating a complex transition as the domestic market enters another year of structural readjustment. His latest quarterly filings reveal a manager at a strategic crossroads, balancing his long-standing devotion to Chinese consumer staples with a newfound, aggressive exposure to the global semiconductor supply chain.

Assets under management across Zhang’s four flagship funds at E Fund Management fell to 41.67 billion yuan ($5.8 billion) by the end of March 2026, marking a significant decline from 48.38 billion yuan just three months prior. This shrinkage was largely fueled by persistent net redemptions, as investors reacted to performance that trailed benchmarks across most of his portfolio. The E Fund Blue Chip Selection Fund, his largest vehicle, saw its net asset value drop by over 5% in the first quarter alone.

Despite the outflow, Zhang remains a 'conviction player' regarding China’s high-end spirits. His top holdings—Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao—continue to occupy the regulatory ceiling of 10% of net asset value in three of his funds. While absolute share counts in these companies were trimmed, analysts suggest this was a 'passive reduction' necessitated by fund redemptions rather than a loss of faith in the 'liquor king' strategy.

The most striking strategic shift emerged in the E Fund Asia Selection Fund, where Zhang pivoted toward the global AI trade. He increased holdings in Dutch lithography giant ASML by an extraordinary 1,536%, alongside a significant boost to South Korean memory leader SK Hynix. This move suggests a search for 'safe margins' through technical moats and global pricing power, providing a hedge against the softer domestic demand currently plaguing the Chinese market.

Zhang’s quarterly commentary, however, remains defiantly optimistic about the home front. He cautioned against 'linear extrapolation' of current economic headwinds, arguing that the difficulties are cyclical rather than structural. He pointed to stabilizing secondary housing prices in core cities and a turnaround in hospitality revenue (RevPAR) as early indicators that consumer confidence is beginning to mend after years of stagnation.

In his view, the market is currently suffering from a 'temporary melancholia,' causing the prices of high-quality equities to diverge significantly from their intrinsic value. For the patient investor, Zhang argues that the current atmosphere of group pessimism is actually magnifying the safety margin of 'evergreen' companies that possess deep competitive moats.

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