The Chilling Wind at Gree: Divestment and Decline for China’s Air-Con Queen

Gree Electric's largest shareholder, Zhuhai Mingjun, has sold a significant stake to repay debt, amid a backdrop of declining revenue and losing market share to rivals Midea and Haier. The company is attempting to stabilize its stock through massive buybacks and high dividends despite a challenging 10% drop in annual profits.

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Key Takeaways

  • 1Zhuhai Mingjun sold 42.8 million shares for 1.66 billion yuan to settle bank loans from its 2019 acquisition.
  • 2Gree's 2025 financial performance slumped with revenue and net profit both falling by nearly 10%.
  • 3Market data indicates Gree has lost its leadership position in the domestic air conditioning market to Midea, occasionally falling to third place.
  • 4The company has launched a 5-10 billion yuan share buyback program to maintain investor confidence.
  • 5Despite the divestment, chairwoman Dong Mingzhu maintains her personal 2% stake and remains an 'acting-in-concert' partner with the main shareholder.

Editor's
Desk

Strategic Analysis

The divestment by Zhuhai Mingjun is more than a simple debt repayment; it reflects the end of the 'honeymoon phase' of Gree’s 2019 privatization. While the dividends have largely covered the interest on Hillhouse Capital’s massive leveraged bet, the underlying fundamentals of Gree are wobbling. Unlike Midea, which successfully diversified into industrial automation and a broader suite of consumer electronics, Gree remains dangerously tethered to the air conditioning market and the fortunes of the Chinese property sector. Dong Mingzhu’s 'Iron Lady' style of management is now being tested by a market that prizes agile diversification over legacy brand loyalty. The massive buybacks suggest a management team more focused on short-term price support than long-term industrial transformation, a common trap for mature giants facing disruptive competition.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

Gree Electric, the crown jewel of China’s white goods sector, is facing a cold front. Zhuhai Mingjun, the company's largest shareholder and a key ally of legendary chairwoman Dong Mingzhu, recently offloaded 42.79 million shares. This move, netting approximately 1.66 billion yuan ($230 million), signals a strategic shift for an entity that has long symbolized the success of China’s mixed-ownership corporate reforms.

The official explanation for the sale is pragmatic rather than purely pessimistic: debt service. In 2019, Zhuhai Mingjun—backed by private equity titan Hillhouse Capital—orchestrated a 41.6 billion yuan leveraged buyout to acquire a 15% stake in the appliance giant. With roughly half that sum sourced from bank loans, the current divestment is characterized as a necessary move to deleverage as those credit obligations mature.

However, the timing of the sale is conspicuous, coinciding with a period of visible strain for the Zhuhai-based manufacturer. In 2025, Gree reported a nearly 10% decline in both total revenue and net profit, a rare stumbling block for a company that once dictated the pace of the global air-conditioning market. The cooling of the Chinese real estate sector has removed the primary driver for domestic appliance demand, leaving Gree’s narrow product focus exposed.

More concerning for investors is the erosion of Gree’s market hegemony. Long the undisputed leader, Gree has seen its market share slip behind arch-rival Midea and feel the heat from a resurgent Haier. Recent industry data suggests Gree has even briefly fallen to third place in certain retail volume metrics, a psychological blow for a brand whose identity is built on technical dominance.

To soothe investor anxiety and counter the narrative of decline, Gree has resorted to aggressive capital management. The company recently announced a massive share buyback program valued between 5 billion and 10 billion yuan, alongside a generous dividend payout that absorbed over 57% of its 2025 earnings. While these moves provide a floor for the stock price, they raise critical questions about whether capital is being diverted from the research and development needed to fuel its lagging diversification efforts into green energy and robotics.

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