In a move that heightens already simmering tensions in the Persian Gulf, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi declared in Baghdad that Tehran now maintains "de facto control" over the Strait of Hormuz. Speaking alongside his Iraqi counterpart, Fuad Hussein, Araghchi asserted that the responsibility for managing and restoring maritime traffic in the world’s most critical oil transit point rests solely with the Islamic Republic. Any interference by third parties, he warned, would be viewed as a violation of regional sovereignty.
This declaration marks a significant escalation in Tehran’s regional posturing, effectively challenging the long-standing international consensus on freedom of navigation. By claiming exclusive authority, Iran is signaling its readiness to use the strait as a geopolitical lever, particularly as it seeks to influence the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon. The rhetoric suggests that the security of global energy supplies is now inextricably linked to Iranian military and political objectives.
Central to Araghchi’s narrative was the mention of a purported memorandum of understanding (MOU) between Tehran and Washington. He argued that any external interference in the strait's management would violate this agreement, which he claims includes a broader commitment to a multi-front ceasefire. Most notably, he linked the security of the waterway directly to Israeli military actions, demanding a full cessation of hostilities and a withdrawal of Israeli forces from occupied Lebanese territories.
The implications for regional neighbors are already being felt, as voiced by Iraqi Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein. Iraq, which relies heavily on the Persian Gulf for its oil exports and fiscal revenue, faces severe economic disruption whenever traffic through the strait is obstructed. While Baghdad continues to advocate for a policy of non-confrontation and dialogue, its proximity to the friction point leaves its financial stability at the mercy of Tehran’s maritime maneuvers.