# FOMC

A House Divided: The Fed’s Fractured Consensus and the Shadow of Politics

The Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates revealed the deepest internal schism in over three decades, with a historic 8-4 vote highlighting a fractured board. As Jerome Powell prepares to step down, the central bank faces a messy leadership transition and a contentious economic outlook shaped by geopolitical instability and political pressure.

SoBiz2026年4月30日 05:27

#Federal Reserve#Jerome Powell#Kevin Warsh

Scrabble tiles arranged to spell 'FED' on a marble surface, symbolizing finance.

Business

Powell Faces an Oil Shock: Markets Expect a Hold — The Real Drama Is the Dot‑Plot and Economic Forecasts

Markets expect the Fed to keep rates at 3.50–3.75% at its next meeting, but attention has turned to the dot plot and updated forecasts as an oil‑price shock from the Iran conflict raises the risk of renewed inflation. How Jerome Powell frames the trade‑off between growth and inflation will determine whether markets read the meeting as a postponement of easing or a signal that policy will stay tighter for longer.

SoBiz2026年3月18日 05:59

#Federal Reserve#Jerome Powell#oil prices