# Horn of Africa

Somalia at a Crossroads: Fragile Recovery Threatened by Somaliland Recognition and Regional Rivalry

Israel’s recognition of Somaliland has jolted an already fragile Somalia, risking fresh fragmentation and external militarisation. Persistent internal disputes, a resilient al-Shabaab insurgency and competing foreign patrons complicate Mogadishu’s path to stability even as pockets of economic and social recovery appear in the capital.