# Liu Yangsheng

The Transactional Pivot: Why Beijing Views a Second Trump Term as a Strategic Opening on Taiwan

Chinese analysts suggest a second Trump term could facilitate Taiwan's reunification as U.S. foreign policy shifts from ideological containment to a purely transactional 'America First' model. Beijing is betting that U.S. fiscal instability and deindustrialization will eventually force Washington to abandon its strategic commitments in the Western Pacific.