Toyota Extends Lead as Global No.1; Volkswagen Stumbles and Chinese Brands Surge

Toyota retained the world sales crown in 2025 with more than 11.3 million vehicles, extending a lead of about 2.3 million units over Volkswagen Group. Toyota’s growth, steady China performance and hybrid strength contrast with Volkswagen’s China slump and management restructuring, while BYD and Geely’s rapid rises signal a reordering of the global auto landscape.

Classic Citroen car parked on a street in Jönköping, Sweden. Black and white photo.

Key Takeaways

  • 1Toyota sold 11.32 million vehicles in 2025, up 4.6%, marking a sixth consecutive year as the world s largest automaker.
  • 2Volkswagen Group delivered 8.98 million vehicles, down 0.5%, widening the sales gap with Toyota to roughly 2.3 million units.
  • 3Toyota grew in China to over 1.78 million units in 2025, while Volkswagen’s China deliveries fell 8.0% to 2.69 million.
  • 4Chinese automakers surged: BYD sold 4.60 million vehicles (BEV sales up nearly 28%), and Geely reached 4.12 million units, up 26%.
  • 5Volkswagen plans governance cuts and production restructuring expected to yield up to 1 billion euros in savings by 2030.

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Strategic Analysis

Toyota s continued top ranking shows that volume leadership in the transition era depends not only on electrification but on portfolio balance, manufacturing resilience and regional footholds. Toyota s emphasis on hybrids allowed it to retain broad appeal while scaling production, insulating it from some of the disruption that has hit rivals. Volkswagen s challenges in China and its management reshuffle expose the twin pressures of slowing demand in a crucial market and the heavy cost of reorganising around electric platforms. Meanwhile, BYD and Geely are converting China s policy support, low-cost manufacturing and rapid product development into global scale. The strategic implication is clear: incumbents must simultaneously cut complexity and invest aggressively in EV platforms, while Chinese firms will press to turn volume into global brand equity and higher-margin businesses. The coming two to three years will be decisive in determining which firms can both lead in sales and control the profitable value chains of battery supply, software and service ecosystems.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

Toyota has secured the top spot in global car sales for a sixth consecutive year, widening a growing gap with Volkswagen Group. In 2025 Toyota, including Daihatsu and Hino, sold 11,322,575 vehicles worldwide, a 4.6% increase on the year, and produced 11,221,960 units, up 5.7%.

Volkswagen Group delivered 8,983,900 vehicles in 2025, a slight decline of 0.5%, leaving the German conglomerate roughly 2.3 million units behind Toyota. The divergence underscores how different strategies and market fortunes have shaped the industry since Toyota first overtook Volkswagen in 2020.

China remains the decisive battlefield. Toyota’s sales in China climbed to more than 1.78 million units in 2025, making it the only major Japanese maker to record positive growth in the market and surpassing the combined China sales of Nissan and Honda. By contrast, Volkswagen’s China deliveries fell to 2.69 million, an 8.0% drop and its second consecutive year of decline in the country.

Volkswagen has announced a management overhaul within its core brand group, planning to cut roughly a third of brand board members by summer 2026. The group says this restructuring, together with production changes, could free up to 1 billion euros in cost savings by 2030 — a signal of mounting pressure to improve profitability and speed the transition to electrification.

Meanwhile Chinese manufacturers are reshaping the global ranking. BYD reported full-year sales of 4,602,436 vehicles in 2025, up 7.7%, with battery-electric models surging to 2,256,714 units, a near 28% increase. Geely posted a 26% jump to 4,116,321 vehicles, surpassing 4 million annual sales for the first time and setting an ambitious target to reach 6.5 million units by 2030.

The numbers reflect deeper structural shifts. Toyota’s success is driven by a diversified product mix that still relies heavily on hybrids and internal combustion engines, combined with steady production capacity. Volkswagen’s weaker performance in China and the broader market highlights the risks legacy carmakers face amid faster-than-expected competition from nimble EV specialists and domestic champions.

For suppliers, financiers and policymakers the rankings matter because market leadership shapes technology standards, investment flows and supply-chain leverage. Toyota’s position gives it influence over hybrid technology and component sourcing norms, while the rapid rise of Chinese groups accelerates the global pivot toward low-cost electric platforms and battery ecosystems.

The industry now faces a dual challenge: incumbents must manage cost and governance reforms while simultaneously accelerating product shifts, and Chinese manufacturers must convert volume gains into sustainable margins and global brand recognition. The next few years will determine whether high-volume leadership translates into long-term dominance in the electric era.

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