Year of the Horse Preview: AI Will Drive the Next Wave of Consumer Tech — Is Apple’s Next Big Thing a Foldable iPhone?

AI is set to be the defining force in consumer electronics for the lunar Year of the Horse, driving changes across chips, sensors and software. While foldable phones are a logical battleground — and a possible next hit for Apple — the real competition will be about integrating efficient on-device intelligence, managing supply-chain costs and meeting regulatory expectations.

Close-up of smartphone screen showing DeepSeek AI chatbot interface on a modern device.

Key Takeaways

  • 1AI, both in software and hardware, will be the dominant theme for consumer electronics in the Year of the Horse.
  • 2On-device AI (NPUs, efficient models) is accelerating to improve latency, privacy and battery behavior without relying solely on cloud processing.
  • 3Hardware changes — sensors, displays, batteries — will be driven by AI workloads rather than traditional performance metrics.
  • 4Foldable phones present a significant opportunity and engineering challenge; Apple’s potential move into folding devices would hinge on display durability, hinge design, software adaptation and pricing.
  • 5Regulation, supply-chain constraints and regional competition (notably from Chinese manufacturers) will determine how quickly AI-rich and foldable devices scale globally.

Editor's
Desk

Strategic Analysis

The strategic inflection point is not simply that devices will get smarter, but that intelligence is being baked into device architecture. Companies that invest in efficient edge models, co‑design chips with software and secure supply chains will gain structural advantages. For Apple, a foldable would be a natural extension of premium differentiation, but the company must avoid launching a device that compromises reliability or ecosystem coherence. For Chinese manufacturers, rapid iteration and localized AI features offer a path to volume and feature leadership, forcing global incumbents to choose between speed and conservatism. Policymakers add another variable: privacy and model-use rules could favor edge-first approaches, advantaging firms that can prove their devices do meaningful inference without exposing sensitive data to the cloud.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

As the lunar Year of the Horse begins, one word will define the consumer electronics landscape: AI. Across both software and hardware, manufacturers are moving from proof-of-concept features toward deeper, device-level intelligence that aims to reshape how people interact with phones, wearables and home gadgets.

Expect on-device AI to accelerate. Companies are investing in neural processing units, optimized chips and software stacks that run models locally for faster responses, lower latency and better privacy guarantees. This shift reduces dependence on the cloud for everyday tasks — from camera scene recognition and predictive typing to intelligent battery management and contextual assistant responses — and changes product engineering priorities away from raw clock speed toward efficient, mixed-model compute.

Hardware design will follow software capability. Sensors, displays and battery systems are being rethought to support always-on, multimodal AI; cameras will feed richer inputs for computer vision models, microphones and haptics will tie into conversational agents, and power management will be tuned for intermittent inference workloads. These are incremental but cumulative changes: the overall user experience improves as each subsystem becomes AI-aware rather than AI-augmented after the fact.

The foldable question sits at the intersection of these trends. Foldable phones have graduated from novelty to a mainstream alternative in several Asian markets, and manufacturers including Chinese rivals have pushed aggressive form-factor experimentation. For Apple, a foldable model would be both a design and software challenge: engineers must solve hinge reliability, thinness, display durability and battery life while product teams adapt iOS and the app ecosystem to flexible screen states. If Apple times such a launch right, it could convert premium upgrade cycles; if not, it risks repeating earlier stumbles of first-generation foldables while handing rivals a marketing advantage.

Market dynamics in China matter globally. Domestic brands have become faster at iterating hardware and integrating bespoke AI features tailored to local services, which pressures incumbents to accelerate. At the same time, supply-chain constraints and component costs — displays, advanced semiconductors and high-density batteries — will govern how quickly AI-rich devices and folding screens reach affordable mainstream volumes.

Regulation and user trust will shape adoption. Greater on-device AI can mitigate privacy concerns, but governments and platform owners still face questions about data governance, model transparency and security. How manufacturers communicate trade-offs between cloud and edge processing, and how regulators define acceptable uses of embedded AI, will affect both consumer confidence and the pace of rollout.

For consumers, the coming year will look less like a single radical breakthrough and more like a series of layered improvements: smarter cameras, assistants that understand context across apps, longer real-world battery life when AI is used judiciously, and new form factors that alter how devices are held and used. Whether Apple’s next "blockbuster" will be a foldable remains an open bet, but the strategic imperative is clear: deliver tangible AI advantages that justify premium prices and lock in ecosystems.

In short, the Year of the Horse will be a test of integration. Success will go to the firms that marry efficient on-device models with hardware engineered around AI tasks, while navigating costs, supply chains and regulatory headwinds. For global players and regional challengers alike, the opportunity is to turn intelligence from a marketing claim into an everyday, reliable product difference.

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