Leapmotor’s Steady Cruise, Li Auto’s Tactical Shift — China’s EV New-Players Gear Up for a March Reckoning

February deliveries show a Chinese EV market transitioning from promotional competition to a product-driven phase. Leapmotor’s cost-driven foothold and Li Auto’s cautious inventory and brand-upgrade playbook kept both near the top, while others suffer steeper declines ahead of concentrated model launches in March–Q2.

Green electric vehicle parking with charging station in urban environment.

Key Takeaways

  • 1Leapmotor led February deliveries among new entrants with 28,067 vehicles, demonstrating resilience in the 100–200k RMB segment.
  • 2Li Auto delivered 26,421 units in February, with minimal month-on-month decline as it clears outgoing L-series inventory and promotes the tech-focused L9 Livis.
  • 3Nio’s recovery is concentrated in the high-end ES8, while Xiaomi, XPeng and AITO face larger declines amid product transitions and aggressive financing offers across the industry.
  • 4Seven-year low-interest financing and purchase-tax guarantees have become near-industry standard responses to slow seasonality and model changeovers.
  • 5March and the Q2 wave of new launches — including Leapmotor’s A10 and D19, Li Auto’s L9, Nio’s ES9, Xiaomi’s new SU7 and AITO’s M6 — will likely decide market trajectories and margins for the year.

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Strategic Analysis

The February figures are less a crisis than an inflection point. For incumbents and new entrants alike, the margin between growth and contraction will be defined by product relevance, software and ADAS credibility, and the ability to protect pricing in the face of input-cost inflation. Companies that can align attractive hardware with scalable software — and control costs through supplier partnerships or vertical integration — will win share without sacrificing profitability. Conversely, brands that lean solely on financing or aggressive discounts will erode margins and invite consolidation. March’s launches are effectively a market reset: they will reveal which models convert showroom curiosity into sustainable demand and which firms will need fresh capital or strategic partners to survive a slower, more competitive second half.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

February deliveries among China’s leading new-energy carmakers reveal a market in transition rather than collapse. Leapmotor (零跑) held the top spot among new entrants with 28,067 deliveries, while Li Auto (理想) followed closely at 26,421, a month-on-month drop of only 4.5% — the smallest among the six largest new players. Nio’s three-brand portfolio delivered 20,797 units, propped up by its high-end ES8, and Xiaomi, AITO (鸿蒙智行/问界) and XPeng rounded out the cohort with materially larger month-on-month declines.

The pullback in February is partly seasonal — the Lunar New Year lull and policy adjustments — but it also reflects product-cycle friction as many firms move stock through a window between outgoing and incoming models. In response, finance promotions have been elevated from differentiation tools to near-industry standards. Seven-year low-interest schemes and purchase-tax guarantees have proliferated since March 1, with Leapmotor, Tesla, BYD, AITO and others rolling out comparable offers to steady demand.

The more consequential determinant of mid- to long-term position, however, is product. Leapmotor is pursuing a two-track approach: defend the 100–200k RMB (roughly $14k–$28k) mainstream with highly cost-competitive models and push upward with D-series premium cars. Its month shows the payoff of vertical integration — in-house R&D is estimated to deliver roughly a 10% vehicle-cost advantage — and an ability to place lidar and Qualcomm 8295 chips into lower price tiers.

Li Auto’s February performance tells a different story: modest month-to-month decline, a deliberate clearance of outgoing L-series stock via steep incentives, and a parallel repositioning of the brand toward an “AI tech” narrative anchored by the flagship L9 Livis. The L9 is a halo product unlikely to add much volume immediately but designed to lift perceived technology credentials ahead of refreshed L-series models and to defend price points against rivals’ large-battery plug-in offerings.

Nio’s recovery remains concentrated on a single, expensive model. The ES8 accounted for the lion’s share of its February volumes, underscoring both product strength and vulnerability: heavy reliance on one high-end SUV exposes the company to demand swings even as it secures margin. Nio’s strategic tie-up with Bosch is telling — deep supplier partnerships are now a tool to stabilise costs and underpin nascent sub-brands such as Leda (乐道) and Firefly (萤火虫).

Xiaomi and XPeng both faced pronounced slowdowns amid product gaps. Xiaomi’s first-generation SU7 has been discontinued and the firm is marshaling factory capacity for a refreshed SU7 due in April; its near-term fortunes rest on whether consumers will pay a modest premium for upgraded kit. XPeng, meanwhile, is attempting to plug a lineup hole with range-extender variants for core models and is consolidating its R&D centres to accelerate a shared AI stack for driving, cabin and robotics.

AITO’s strategy under Huawei’s HarmonyOS umbrella is illustrative of the bifurcating market: the brand has doubled down on high-margin models and marketing reach into lower-tier cities, while pruning lower-priced sub-brands to beautify the balance sheet. The imminent M6 mid-sized SUV will be a crucial test of whether it can convert customer recognition into sustained volume in the fiercely contested 150–300k RMB band.

Three structural dynamics should shape the next 10 months. First, advanced driver-assistance and perceived software competency are moving from premium differentiators to purchase prerequisites in the mid-market. Second, powertrain approaches are diverging — range extenders and plug-in hybrids are proving resilient with family buyers, while full BEV growth is becoming more contested. Third, raw-material pressure and chip cost inflation are compressing margins, so firms that can sell both volume and profitability will survive and consolidate market share. March and the second quarter, when new models hit the market en masse, will determine which approaches scale and which firms face a year of margin erosion and inventory digestion.

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