Anhui’s Jinzhongzi Struggles to Recover as Five-Year Loss Streak Deepens

Jinzhongzi, an Anhui-based baijiu maker, has forecast a 2025 net loss of RMB 150–190 million, marking its fifth consecutive year in the red. Heavy dependence on low-end products and Anhui sales, combined with a prolonged leadership vacancy despite a 2022 mixed-ownership reform with China Resources, have left the company struggling to adapt to industry premiumisation and channel shift.

Line of pumpjacks against a stunning rocky landscape at sunset in Karamay, Xinjiang, China.

Key Takeaways

  • 1Jinzhongzi forecast a 2025 net loss of RMB 150–190 million, continuing five straight years of losses.
  • 2Low-end products (≤RMB100) make up about 64.5% of liquor revenue, while high-end sales remain negligible.
  • 3Sales are heavily concentrated in Anhui (81.8%), with out-of-province revenue under RMB 100 million.
  • 4China Resources took a 49% stake in 2022 but management overhaul has not reversed the downturn.
  • 5General manager post has been vacant for six months after a July 2025 resignation, creating leadership uncertainty.

Editor's
Desk

Strategic Analysis

Jinzhongzi’s case illustrates a recurrent dilemma for regional Chinese consumer brands: deep historical roots and local loyalty are not sufficient in a market being reshaped by premiumisation, national distribution scale and rapid channel evolution. The company’s heavy skew toward low-priced SKUs leaves it vulnerable to volume contraction and margin pressure, while its narrow geographic footprint prevents the revenue diversification that competitors achieved through aggressive national expansion. The involvement of China Resources gave the company access to capital and management talent, but it also raises questions about the limits of mixed-ownership reforms when strategic repositioning—product innovation, premium brand building and channel reengineering—requires patient investment and clear leadership. A quick resolution requires appointing an experienced CEO with a mandate to either accelerate premium migration and national expansion or to enact a disciplined downsizing and concentration strategy; absent either, Jinzhongzi risks becoming a cautionary example of mid-tier brands squeezed out amid industry consolidation.

China Daily Brief Editorial
Strategic Insight
China Daily Brief

Jinzhongzi, once one of Anhui’s celebrated baijiu brands, is slipping further into distress as the company forecast another annual loss for 2025. On January 28 the listed unit disclosed an expected net loss attributable to shareholders of between RMB 150 million and RMB 190 million, marking the fifth consecutive year of negative net profit since 2021.

The figures expose structural weaknesses: in the first three quarters of 2025 the firm’s liquor division recorded just RMB 512 million in revenue, with low-end products (≤RMB100 per bottle) accounting for RMB 330 million or 64.5% of that total. Mid- and high-end segments remain marginal, contributing RMB 131 million (25.6%) and RMB 51.3 million (10%) respectively, leaving Jinzhongzi trapped between declining mass-market volumes and an inability to break into premium channels.

Geography compounds the problem. The company still draws more than four-fifths of its sales from Anhui Province—RMB 419 million or 81.8% in the first three quarters—while out-of-province revenues remain under RMB 100 million. That narrow footprint has left Jinzhongzi hemmed in by larger domestic rivals such as Gujinggong, Yingjia and Kouzijiao, which have expanded both within and beyond Anhui.

Jinzhongzi’s troubles are also managerial. In July 2025 the company’s general manager, who had run operations for nearly three years following a 2022 mixed-ownership deal, abruptly resigned. The position has been vacant since, with a deputy acting in the role—an unresolved leadership question that investors have treated with weary resignation during an industry downturn.

The firm’s decline is partly historical. Jinzhongzi has deep local roots in Fuyang and a fermentation tradition stretching back centuries, and the business once grew rapidly after refocusing on spirits in the mid-2000s. Revenue peaked in the early 2010s, but the company failed to execute the nationwide premiumisation and brand-building strategies that propelled other Chinese baijiu makers.

A 2022 mixed-ownership reform brought China Resources in as a 49% shareholder of the parent group and led to a wave of management changes and new investment. Yet those interventions have not reversed the slide. Management changes, heavy investments in consumer cultivation and channel restructuring produced only partial gains in 2025, and continuing industry-wide contraction and shifting distribution dynamics kept the company loss-making.

Why this matters extends beyond one provincial brand. Jinzhongzi’s plight underscores broader pressures across China’s liquor market: slower consumption, channel disruption, rapid premiumisation that leaves low-end reliant brands exposed, and the limits of state-backed restructuring in delivering quick turnarounds. For investors and policymakers, the company’s path forward—whether a sharper shift upmarket, deeper cost rationalisation, renewed geographic expansion, or further consolidation—will be an indicator of how mid-tier regional spirits brands can survive China’s consolidating beverage landscape.

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