Business & IndustryAnalysis

A-Share Earnings Forecasts Point to AI and Computing Surge

Mid-year corporate guidance highlights strong momentum in computing power and semiconductor supply chains across Chinese bourses.

Share
Sheet of nominal shares of the Bucharest Tramway Comunal Society (Societatea Comunală a Tramvaielor București) (02)
Unknown authorUnknown author via Wikimedia Commons, Public domain

The Brief

First-half corporate earnings pre-announcements from China's A-share markets show steady operational growth, led by surging demand across the artificial intelligence, computing power, and semiconductor sectors. According to data reported by People's Daily, over 55% of the more than 900 Shenzhen-listed companies disclosing performance forecasts reported earnings expansion or turnaround. The robust guidance from memory and chip firms reflects broader capital expenditure in digital infrastructure and the expansion of high-tech manufacturing clusters on the STAR Market and ChiNext boards.

Why it matters

Earnings forecasts from listed firms offer a practical barometer for China's industrial upgrading and macroeconomic momentum. Strong results among computing and memory hardware leaders indicate that the commercial rollout of artificial intelligence and high-performance computing is feeding real corporate revenues, supported by domestic digital infrastructure investments.

China context

Under policy initiatives advancing the 'Artificial Intelligence Plus' strategy and the cultivation of 'new quality productive forces', China's capital markets have systematically channeled financing toward high-tech enterprises. Reforms on the Shanghai STAR Market and Shenzhen ChiNext boards have broadened access for advanced semiconductor, equipment, and materials makers.

Editor's View

EDITOR'S VIEW — Analysis and inference, not factual reporting. The mid-year guidance indicates that upstream semiconductor and compute infrastructure providers are benefiting from both cyclical inventory recovery and structural AI adoption. However, investors and analysts will need to watch whether the rapid revenue expansion translates into durable operating margins as downstream application demand matures and global hardware cycles evolve.

What to watch

  • Verification of preliminary figures when full 2026 interim financial reports are officially published
  • The implementation pace of ChiNext's reform guidelines and new listing criteria for advanced technology enterprises
  • Supply-demand balances and corporate capital expenditure trends in computing hardware and memory during the second half of the year

Key Takeaways

  • 1Over 55% of the 900+ Shenzhen-listed firms issuing mid-year forecasts reported improved or growing financial results.
  • 2Hardware and memory suppliers such as BIWIN Storage and Ingenic Semiconductor posted projected revenue increases of up to 308% and 77% respectively.
  • 3NDRC figures indicate that domestic AI-related industries maintained growth exceeding 30%.
  • 4Specialized tech boards continue expanding, with the STAR Market hosting 130 integrated circuit firms and ChiNext surpassing 1,400 total listings.
First-half earnings pre-announcements from Chinese A-share listed companies indicate steady operational performance, underpinned by strong expansion in artificial intelligence infrastructure, according to a report by People's Daily. In Shenzhen, more than 900 listed firms have released first-half earnings guidance. Over 55% of these enterprises reported earnings growth or operational improvements, while more than 30% sustained profitability with net profit growth exceeding 50%. Across both the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges, companies focused on computing power and memory chips broadly issued positive forecasts. Corporate guidance reflects substantial top-line acceleration among hardware providers. On the Shanghai market, memory provider BIWIN Storage Technology forecast first-half revenue between 15 billion yuan and 16 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 283.40% to 308.96%, supported by AI computing demand and an industry cyclical recovery. On the Shenzhen market, Ingenic Semiconductor projected first-half revenue of approximately 3.989 billion yuan, up around 77% year-on-year, driven by its dual compute-and-memory product portfolio. Market analysts attribute the performance to compounding cyclical and structural tailwinds. Kong Rong, deputy head of the research institute at Guolian Minsheng Securities, noted that accelerating AI model iterations have generated explosive demand for compute and memory, projecting that supply-demand imbalances will persist as model development continues. Yang Chao, chief strategist at China Galaxy Securities, stated that rising global cloud capital expenditures, large model training and inference requirements, domestic digital economy policies, and prior inventory digestion have supported upstream earnings realization. National Development and Reform Commission data cited by People's Daily indicated that AI-related sectors maintained growth rates exceeding 30%. In parallel, domestic tech boards continue to expand institutional support for advanced industries. The Shanghai STAR Market, which marked its seventh anniversary on July 22, hosts 130 integrated circuit companies spanning design, manufacturing, packaging, testing, materials, and equipment, including leaders such as Hygon Information Technology, Cambricon Technologies, and SMIC. Meanwhile, Shenzhen's ChiNext board reached 1,400 listed firms following the debut of Xinxing Tools on July 30, with high-tech enterprises making up nearly 90% of its roster.